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Wind AlliesTier 1

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decks
7 (15.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21 12-7-2
overall winrate
61.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.0% avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
55.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1260 · median 1281 · range 1138–1364 (7 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1202 Q3 1355 1656
14% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 29% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Allies 15.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.1% +1.7
Fire Crux Mage 10.9% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 50.4% +0.3
Wind Crux Lorraine 8.7% 5 2-2-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.7% -0.1
Fire Aggro 4.3% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% +1.3
Fire Neos 4.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.4% +0.4
Wind Umbra Ranger 4.3% 0
Fire Arcane 2.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.2% -1.2
Fire Diana 2.2% 0
Fire Erupting 2.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -1.0
Fire Tera Tamer 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +1.0
Fire Tonoris 2.2% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 2.2% 0
Fire Vanitas 2.2% 0
Water Astra Cleric 2.2% 0
Water Crux Mage 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.4% +2.2
Water Neos 2.2% 0
Water Tera Tamer 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.9% +1.5
Wind Neos 2.2% 0
Wind Tera Tamer 2.2% 0
Wind Vanitas 2.2% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 50.7% +0.7
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Esteemed Knight -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon +1.00 1 0 0
Tithe Proclamation -1.00 0 1 0
Trained Sharpshooter -1.00 0 1 0
Heavy Swing +1.00 1 0 0
Shimmercloak Assassin +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Weaponsmith -1.00 0 1 0
Displace +1.00 1 0 0
Attune with the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Woodland Squirrels -1.00 0 1 0
Tonoris, Might of Humanity +1.00 1 0 0
Sword of Seeking -1.00 0 1 0
Rallied Advance +1.00 1 0 0
Tonoris, Lone Mercenary +1.00 1 0 0
Hurricane Sweep -1.00 0 1 0
Inspiring Call -1.00 0 1 0
Favorable Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Bulwark Sword +1.00 1 0 0
Lorraine, Blademaster -1.00 0 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Phalanx Captain -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Lorraine, Wandering Warrior -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Azure Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/1618/archetypes/Wind Allies